- The Record
- cs-powell
Powell becomes the shadow chair through 2028 (pipeline read on the Fed succession).
- Status
- Open, graded when the resolution window closes
- Date made
- May 5, 2026
- Resolution window
- through January 31, 2028 — Powell’s governor term; assessable only across 2026–2028
- Outcome
- Warsh confirmed 54–45; Powell remains on the Board/FOMC through January 2028. | AUDIT 2026-08-27 (adversarial public-evidence pass, CO): reclassified CONFIRMED→OPEN. No discrete public events yet establish shadow-chair function; Powell disavowed the framing on the record (Apr 29 2026 FOMC presser: 'That’s just something I would never do'). Contrary evidence noted; call remains open on its own terms.
- Desk
- Macro / Monetary · Civilizational Science
- Source
- Dispatch #2 → #3
- Call ID
- cs-powell
Provenance
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Past performance does not guarantee future results. This is published research of general circulation and is not individualized investment advice. Each call is graded against the invalidation condition it was published with.