- The Record
- desk-metals-003
Gold's floor holds: the World Bank monthly gold price averages at or above $4,050/oz in both November and December 2026
- Status
- Open, graded when the resolution window closes
- Date made
- October 17, 2026
- Resolution window
- 2026-11-01 to 2026-12-31. Invalidation: The World Bank Pink Sheet monthly gold price ("Gold, spot average of daily rates") below $4,050.00/oz for November 2026 or December 2026, as first published (early December 2026 and early January 2027 releases). CONFIRMED if both are at or above $4,050.
- Desk
- Metals & Mining · Intel Suite Desk
- Stated confidence
- POSSIBLE
- Prior probability
- 70% at registration
- Source
- Desk — The Rates Cap Got Heavier. Gold's Floor Moved Up.
- Call ID
- desk-metals-003
Provenance
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Past performance does not guarantee future results. This is published research of general circulation and is not individualized investment advice. Each call is graded against the invalidation condition it was published with.