- The Record
- desk-oilen-004a
US distillate inventories stay at least 8% below the five-year average in every weekly EIA print released Oct 21 through Dec 31 2026
- Status
- Open, graded when the resolution window closes
- Date made
- October 17, 2026
- Resolution window
- 2026-10-21 to 2026-12-31. Invalidation: Any of the eleven WPSR releases Oct 21 through Dec 30 2026 showing US distillate inventories less than 8% below the five-year average, as stated in EIA's summary text or, where that text is unrecoverable, as computed from WDISTUS1 against the 2021–2025 matching-week average rounded to a whole percent.
- Desk
- Energy · Intel Suite Desk
- Stated confidence
- PROBABLE
- Prior probability
- 70% at registration
- Source
- Desk — The Relief Valves Opened. The Tank Is Still Low.
- Call ID
- desk-oilen-004a
Provenance
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Past performance does not guarantee future results. This is published research of general circulation and is not individualized investment advice. Each call is graded against the invalidation condition it was published with.